Good morning, East Tennessee!
As your local meteorologist, I’m delivering the latest weather update for Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Today is the day a cold front sweeps through, bringing showers, storms, and a risk of strong to severe weather along with isolated flood and flash flood concerns.

Tuesday: A Cold Front Ushers in Storms and Heavy Rain
We’re starting the day with spotty showers and locally heavy rain, which will fade temporarily but return with force this afternoon. It’s a mild and muggy morning, with temperatures trending warmer than yesterday, settling in the 70s. As the cold front approaches, clouds will thicken, giving us mostly cloudy skies throughout the day. Storms are expected to fire up after the lunch hour, peaking into the afternoon and evening. These could linger during the evening rush hour, so before hitting the road, check in with the eastTNweather app for real-time updates and safety alerts!

The atmosphere is primed for action, with a chance for strong to severe storms featuring heavy downpours, gusty winds, and possible hail. Isolated flood and flash flood risks are also on the table, particularly in areas with poor drainage. Stay vigilant, especially if you’re in low-lying regions, and avoid driving through flooded roads.

Wednesday and Thursday: Drier Air Brings Slight Relief
Behind today’s cold front, slightly drier air will settle in on Wednesday, July 2, and Thursday, July 3. This will make the air feel a bit more comfortable, though it will still be hot—after all, it’s July! Rain chances will drop, offering a dry spell perfect for outdoor plans. Highs will likely stay in the upper 80s to low 90s, with heat indices moderating slightly from the mid-90s, providing a welcome break from the humidity.

4th of July Weekend: The Heat and Humidity Return
As we head into the 4th of July weekend (July 3-6, 2025), high pressure will build in from the west, ramping up the heat and humidity. Expect a very hot weekend, with temperatures climbing to the low to mid-90s and heat indices peaking in the mid to upper 90s during the day’s hottest hours. The UV Index will soar to 11, making sunburn a real risk if you’re out on the lakes, at pools, or enjoying festivities in Knoxville, Chattanooga, or the Smokies. Lather up with sunscreen and take breaks in the shade to protect your skin.

While the forecast leans dry, the increasing humidity could spark a few isolated storms, though significant rain isn’t anticipated. This hot, humid setup is ideal for 4th of July celebrations, from fireworks to outdoor barbecues.

Beyond the 7-Day Forecast: An Active Pattern Looms
Looking past the immediate week, signs suggest a more active weather pattern may develop. Stay tuned and check back for updates as we refine those details in the coming days.

Storm and Heat Safety Tips for East Tennessee
With storms today and heat looming, here are essential safety tips:

  • Stay Hydrated: Drink water regularly, avoiding dehydrating drinks like alcohol or soda.
  • Seek Shelter: During storms, move indoors and avoid outdoor activities from 10 AM to 4 PM in the heat.
  • Wear Protection: Use loose, light-colored clothing and apply sunscreen (SPF 30+) to combat the UV Index.
  • Check on Others: Monitor elderly neighbors, children, and pets who are more vulnerable to heat and storms.
  • Avoid Flood Risks: Steer clear of flooded roads and watch for flash flood warnings during today’s storms.

ABOVE AND BEYOND THE 7 DAY FORECAST

Looking past the 7 Day Forecast, the Climate Prediction Center has issues a forecast based on probabilities.
These maps don’t show you how far above or below, but rather an idea of how strong the signal is.

Your Weather Ally: The eastTNweather App
The eastTNweather app is your one-stop shop for weather information in East Tennessee. Launched in October 2023 after nearly 20 years at WBIR, it offers three daily video forecasts, a live morning session, and constant updates on MikeWitcherTV and ETNWeather. Available free on Roku, Amazon Fire, eastTNweather.com, and as an app, it’s loaded with radar and alert features. Download it today to stay safe during today’s storms and the holiday weekend!

Why This Weather Matters
The cold front’s arrival today, driven by the trough, will shake up our weather with storms and rain, while the drier air behind it offers a brief reprieve. The returning heat and humidity for the 4th of July reflect seasonal norms, amplified by the building high pressure. For Knoxville residents, Chattanooga outdoor enthusiasts, and Smoky Mountain hikers, this forecast is key for planning and safety.

Stay Connected with eastTNweather
As your local meteorologist, I’m here to keep you informed and safe. Visit eastTNweather.com, download the app, or follow us on social media for the latest on today’s storms, the week’s drier spell, and the 4th of July outlook. Make it a great day and enjoy the rest of your week—stay weather-wise!