Good morning, East Tennessee!
As your local meteorologist, I’m here to guide you through today’s weather on Thursday, June 26, 2025. We’re kicking off the day with showers and storms in the Southern Valley, triggered by a lingering outflow boundary. Heavy rain and potential flash flooding are already impacting McMinn County, where slow-moving storms are causing concern.

Morning Storms and Flood Risks
The day begins with a warm, muggy feel—classic for an East Tennessee summer morning. Showers and storms are active in the Southern Valley, with McMinn County experiencing heavy rainfall and flash flooding due to the sluggish movement of these systems. These storms should dissipate through the morning, but high water remains a hazard, so avoid low-lying areas and heed any road closure alerts. Temperatures are already in the mid-70s, setting the stage for a rapid warmup.

Afternoon Heatwave with Severe Storm Potential
By lunchtime, expect temperatures to rise into the upper 80s to low 90s, with the heat index climbing to the mid to upper 90s. Afternoon highs will reach the mid-90s, but the heat index could push past 105°F, prompting the National Weather Service to extend the Heat Advisory through this evening. This intense heat poses risks, especially for outdoor workers and those enjoying the Smokies, so preparation is key.

Adding to the challenge, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 1 risk for severe storms this afternoon. The atmosphere is loaded with instability and moisture, creating ideal conditions for storm development. Any storms that form could bring damaging winds exceeding 60 mph, large hail, and torrential downpours, heightening flood concerns. The Weather Prediction Center’s Level 1 flood risk further underscores the need for vigilance, particularly in areas already saturated from morning rains.

Weather Pattern Shift: Rain and Relief Ahead
Our current ridge of high pressure is weakening and shifting southeast toward the Atlantic Ocean, opening the door to changing conditions. A tropical low emerging from the Gulf and Florida will boost rain chances from Friday through the weekend, offering a break from the dry heat. Then, on Tuesday, July 1, a cold front is expected to sweep in, bringing additional storms and much-needed rainfall. If this front fully passes through—a big “if” at this stage—it could usher in lower humidity and relief from the extreme heat as we approach the 4th of July weekend, July 3-6, 2025. Stay tuned for updates as we near the holiday.

Heat Safety Tip For East Tennessee
With heat indices soaring and storms on the horizon, here are essential safety tips to protect yourself and your loved ones:

  • Stay Hydrated: Drink water regularly, even if you don’t feel thirsty, and steer clear of dehydrating drinks like soda or alcohol.
  • Seek Cool Refuge: Avoid outdoor activities from 10 AM to 4 PM, and find air-conditioned spaces or shaded areas to cool off.
  • Wear Appropriate Clothing: Choose lightweight, loose, light-colored fabrics to reflect heat and guard against sunburn.
  • Check on the Vulnerable: Keep an eye on elderly neighbors, children, and pets who are more prone to heat-related illnesses.
  • Spot Heat Stress Early: Look for signs like dizziness, nausea, or a rapid heartbeat—seek medical help if heat exhaustion or stroke is suspected.

These steps are crucial as East Tennessee endures this heatwave, and following them can prevent serious health risks.

ABOVE AND BEYOND THE 7 DAY FORECAST

Looking past the 7 Day Forecast, the Climate Prediction Center has issues a forecast based on probabilities.
These maps don’t show you how far above or below, but rather an idea of how strong the signal is.

Your One-Stop Weather Resource: eastTNweather App
For the latest updates on this evolving weather, the eastTNweather app is your one-stop shop for weather information in East Tennessee. Launched in October 2023 after nearly 20 years at WBIR, eastTNweather delivers real-time forecasts, three daily video updates, a live morning session, and constant social media posts (follow MikeWitcherTV and ETNWeather). Available on Roku, Amazon Fire, eastTNweather.com, and the app, we provide trusted, local insights without the hype. Download the app today to stay ahead of the heat, storms, and potential flooding.

Why This Weather Matter to East Tennessee
This combination of heat, severe storm risks, and incoming rain reflects a classic summer pattern amplified by current atmospheric dynamics. The lingering outflow boundary from earlier storms, paired with a moisture-rich tropical low, sets the stage for an active weather week. For Knoxville’s urban dwellers, Chattanooga’s outdoor enthusiasts, and Smoky Mountain hikers, understanding these shifts is vital. The heat advisory and flood risks highlight the need for preparedness, especially as overnight lows in the 70s offer little relief.

Stay Informed with East Tennessee Weather
As your local meteorologist, I’m committed to keeping you safe and informed. Bookmark eastTNweather.com, download the eastTNweather app, or follow us on social media for the latest on today’s heat and storms, the weekend rain outlook, and the 4th of July forecast. Together, let’s navigate this weather challenge—stay safe, stay hydrated, and stay connected!